What does Cardano (ADA) need to break the $1 barrier?

At the beginning of October 2025, the price of Cardano (ADA) traded within a narrow range as investors assessed whether its inclusion in a major digital asset index and ongoing discussions about the ETF (exchange-traded fund) could trigger a breakout above the 1 USD threshold.

Analysts believe that ADA has maintained important support levels, while technical indicators suggest that price volatility is narrowing.

Listing on organizations helps enhance visibility for Cardano

In recent news, the addition of Cardano to the S&P 50 Digital Market Index has marked an important milestone, enhancing the presence of this network in the eyes of traditional investors. This index tracks the top 50 digital assets, designed to provide investors in the traditional finance sector with an overview of the broader market.

According to data from the TapTools platform, joining a global index often increases credibility and opens up opportunities for new capital flows from institutional investors. These funds, which track or compare with indices, are likely to allocate capital to the included assets, thereby increasing demand and liquidity.

Analysts believe that this inclusion indicates that Cardano is attracting attention not only from retail investors but also from large investors, putting it in a competitive position with assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

Although Cardano had previously struggled to maintain investor momentum, its recognition in this index has highlighted a shift towards broader recognition from traditional markets.

This development comes after a period of speculation about ETFs, during which investors assess how an approved altcoin trading product could reshape investment allocations.

S&P launches top 50 cryptocurrency index, $ADA included in the list | Source: TapTools## Cardano price accumulates in a symmetrical triangle pattern

Next in the news about Cardano, technical analysts have observed that Cardano's price movements have been compressed into a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is often regarded as a neutral structure before a volatility expansion.

Analyst TheDAppAnalyst stated that the range of ADA is narrowing as it approaches the peak of the triangle, which often coincides with the beginning of the altcoin season at the end of October. This pattern indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, with neither side establishing a clear dominance.

A decisive move above the resistance level of 0.9 USD could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, while consistent closes below 0.78 USD–0.80 USD could lead to a breakdown of the pattern towards the downside.

At the time of writing, ADA is trading around 0.8145 USD, up about 0.27% in the last 24 hours, but down 5.04% in the past week and 7.39% in the past month.

$ADA could break through by the end of October and early November. | Source: Dapp Analyst, The (relative strength index )of ADA is hovering near neutral territory, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions. Investors view this structure as a potential setup for a breakout if trading volume increases along with price movement.

Weekly moving average trend supports bullish outlook

News about Cardano shows it maintaining a close above the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), a trend indicator that analysts consider an important support area. History shows that ADA's price rallies often begin when the price action recovers from this level, currently corresponding to the range of 0.77 USD–0.80 USD.

Analysts say that holding above the 50-week EMA maintains a bullish scenario. The last time ADA defended this average, the token approached the 1 USD area, and the current structure is similar to the previous one with similar higher low patterns.

The main resistance levels still range from 0.95 USD to 1 USD, representing the upper threshold that needs to be broken to confirm a bullish reversal.

$ADA on the MA 50W, establishing a level of $1+ and a new ATH | Source: Sssebi, Buying pressure maintained above the moving average, combined with increased trading volume, could validate a continuation towards the highs of the previous cycle. Meanwhile, on-chain data shows significant accumulation among large investors. Analysts believe this is due to the return of confidence from institutions after being included in the index.

The price stability of Cardano related to support from the buy wall

Order book analysis shows a thick buy wall near 0.78 USD, indicating strong demand. This level acts as a psychological and structural support area. The data aggregator company CW8900 reports that buy orders continuously absorb selling pressure in that range, leading to price stability after previous declines.

Analysts view this pattern as evidence that traders are positioning for a medium-term recovery rather than immediate speculative fluctuations. Above the current accumulation level, resistance levels appear near 0.85 USD and 0.90 USD, forming a narrow corridor that could determine the short-term trajectory of ADA.

The repeated protection of the same historical price band has reinforced market confidence, often turning short-term resistance into a foundation for continued upward movement.

Support wall $ADA | Source: CW8900, XStable buying force, ADA could turn this area into a long-term support platform before attempting to move towards the $1 threshold.

Tightening structure creates a premise for volatility expansion

At the time of the press, the price of Cardano was trading near 0.82 USD, showing resilience after recent declines. In news about Cardano, analysts noted that the intersection of institutional vision, technical accumulation, and strong buying demand has positioned ADA for a potential breakout in volatility in the coming weeks.

Whether the next move will become a continuation of the price increase or a temporary correction will depend on the volume confirmation around the triangle's peak.

Currently, market data indicates cautious optimism among participants monitoring how ETF dynamics and macro liquidity fluctuations may affect risk appetite across altcoins.

If these conditions are arranged, ADA may return to the 1 USD area, a level that history has sparked renewed interest from both retail and institutional traders. Until then, analysts describe this structure as a balanced, tight, equilibrium state, ready for expansion.

Mr. Teacher