5.6 Midday Market Briefing: Bitcoin leading the way, Ethereum following? Don’t be fooled by appearances!
Bitcoin’s trend isn’t over yet. You see, every time it hits a new high, it pulls back to support, confirming it holds, then pushes higher. After breaking out above 80,738, it dipped to 79,590, then broke 80,885 to reach 81,792. Now it’s retesting 80,885 from above, and after testing, it’s bouncing back up. As long as 80,885 isn’t broken, new highs are just a matter of time. There’s a flag pattern and resistance at 82,192 stacked together—break both at once, and it’s game on; if it passes, look toward 83,437. To see a pullback, it must break below 80,885; if that happens, then watch 79,590. If it doesn’t break, there’s no need to consider shorting.
Trading is simple: if volume pushes through 81,405, go long on the right side, targeting 82,192 and 83,437. If it drops below 80,885 with volume and then rebounds without breaking, go short on the right side, targeting 79,788 and 78,761.
Ethereum really can’t compare to Bitcoin. Bitcoin has hit new highs, but Ethereum can’t even get past 2,400, and it broke below 2,376—weak as hell. To take off, it needs to climb back above 2,376 and break through 2,400 solidly; otherwise, rallying is pointless. Watch that wedge pattern—if 2,343 support fails, it’s likely to test 2,307, and that structure will be broken, making it very hard to rise again.
If you see a rebound, and it retests 2,313 support and holds, you might sneak in a long; if 2,297 breaks, you must exit. If volume pushes below 2,353, go short. To chase longs, wait until it stabilizes above 2,371 before acting, targeting 2,400 to 2,422. There’s a shorting opportunity around 2,464; if it breaks 2,500, set a stop-loss. For longs from the left side at 2,278, if 2,230 breaks, you must accept it.
Overall, Bitcoin is having fun on its own, but Ethereum is dragging behind, which poses some risks. Don’t try to guess the top; wait for the right position. If it breaks, act; if not, just watch.