The Fed may face its first rate cut in September 2025, a news that has attracted widespread attention in the market. According to current market expectations, the rate cut decision is likely to be made during the monetary policy meeting on September 17-18, with the specific announcement time expected to be around 2 AM Beijing time on September 19.
In terms of the interest rate cut, the general prediction is for a 25 basis points, or 0.25%. However, this decision is not set in stone, and the final outcome will depend on the performance of two key economic indicators.
First, the non-farm employment data for August to be released on September 5 is crucial. The performance of the job market directly reflects economic vitality and has a significant impact on the formulation of monetary policy. Secondly, the consumer price index (CPI) for August, to be published on September 11, should not be overlooked either. Changes in inflation levels are one of the core considerations for central banks when adjusting interest rates.
These two data points will serve as a barometer for whether the Fed will cut interest rates in September. If the data shows a slowdown in economic growth and easing inflationary pressures, the likelihood of a rate cut in September will significantly increase. Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations with strength, the Fed may delay the timing of the rate cut.
Overall, although current indicators tend to suggest a rate cut in September 2025, the final decision will still need to wait for the release of the latest economic data at the beginning of September. Investors and market analysts should closely follow these key indicators to better anticipate the Fed's policy direction and its potential impact on global financial markets.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
10
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
Blockblind
· 8h ago
Interest rates have gone up, are you stupid?
View OriginalReply0
ImpermanentLossFan
· 09-03 20:51
It's going to be big again!
View OriginalReply0
ForkItAllDay
· 09-03 20:51
Waiting for interest rate cuts all day is so annoying.
View OriginalReply0
SmartContractPhobia
· 09-03 20:50
Can't wait to Be Played for Suckers.
View OriginalReply0
liquidation_watcher
· 09-03 20:47
Two more years to wait? Painful mask
View OriginalReply0
TokenUnlocker
· 09-03 20:44
Do we really have to wait two years for this thing?
View OriginalReply0
fren_with_benefits
· 09-03 20:40
Buddha, still have to wait more than a year.
View OriginalReply0
ForkPrince
· 09-03 20:38
Wait until 2025, first pump a bit of small fish to enter a position.
The Fed may face its first rate cut in September 2025, a news that has attracted widespread attention in the market. According to current market expectations, the rate cut decision is likely to be made during the monetary policy meeting on September 17-18, with the specific announcement time expected to be around 2 AM Beijing time on September 19.
In terms of the interest rate cut, the general prediction is for a 25 basis points, or 0.25%. However, this decision is not set in stone, and the final outcome will depend on the performance of two key economic indicators.
First, the non-farm employment data for August to be released on September 5 is crucial. The performance of the job market directly reflects economic vitality and has a significant impact on the formulation of monetary policy. Secondly, the consumer price index (CPI) for August, to be published on September 11, should not be overlooked either. Changes in inflation levels are one of the core considerations for central banks when adjusting interest rates.
These two data points will serve as a barometer for whether the Fed will cut interest rates in September. If the data shows a slowdown in economic growth and easing inflationary pressures, the likelihood of a rate cut in September will significantly increase. Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations with strength, the Fed may delay the timing of the rate cut.
Overall, although current indicators tend to suggest a rate cut in September 2025, the final decision will still need to wait for the release of the latest economic data at the beginning of September. Investors and market analysts should closely follow these key indicators to better anticipate the Fed's policy direction and its potential impact on global financial markets.