A few days ago, BTC’s 10-day historical volatility dropped to ~10%.
The last two times we saw this level of compression:
• January 2023 around $17k
• July 2020 around $9k
Both were extended periods of calm that preceded major regime shifts.
Low volatility doesn’t signal weakness or strength on its own. It signals tension.
For an asset as liquid and globally traded as Bitcoin to go this quiet, it usually means the market is coiling, not disengaging.
These phases don’t reward impatience. They reward those who understand that the biggest moves often start when nothing seems to be happening.
$BTC
The last two times we saw this level of compression:
• January 2023 around $17k
• July 2020 around $9k
Both were extended periods of calm that preceded major regime shifts.
Low volatility doesn’t signal weakness or strength on its own. It signals tension.
For an asset as liquid and globally traded as Bitcoin to go this quiet, it usually means the market is coiling, not disengaging.
These phases don’t reward impatience. They reward those who understand that the biggest moves often start when nothing seems to be happening.
$BTC
BTC-1,94%













