# 交易

每日交易訓練復盤
3月25日復盤
恐慌指數一直處於低位，有反彈跡象，按以為熊市周期，應該還有一次高度恐慌下跌，才能達到底部區間！
交易記錄：
1 在$TAO 達到362 -370時各空2個，共計4個，最終晚上睡前360平倉，結果後來跌到330附近。少賺120U。
3月26日復盤
1 中午$M 到2.474空單400個，結果一回落2.463就平倉。後來下午跌到2附近，少了160U。
2 上午$ENA 達到0.107附近空10000個，然後出現短期浮虧，當價格剛剛一回落到成本價下方就小額盈利平倉。後來跌幅差不多10%，少賺100多U。
總結：在開倉後出現短期小額浮虧時有焦慮心理，擔心被套，又不能設定正確的止損區間，導致一有浮盈，立馬跑了，生怕再次浮虧被套。
應當克服怕被套止損心理，開倉很難開單最高或者最低點，既然趨勢判斷正確，開倉前確認好盈虧區間，定好止盈止損目標，用於面對合理的止損，達到合理止盈目標時不要貪多，及時分倉止盈，並移動止損位，避免利潤回撤。#交易 #比特币震荡走弱

Where is the endpoint of trading?
At first, everything was so dreamlike. Because of your obsession, you figured out many problems you previously didn't understand. Just when you thought you had finally found the Holy Grail, you discovered that you needed to let go of your obsession. Yet it was because of this obsession that you persevered to the end, only to be told that you can only succeed without obsession. In that moment, what was in your heart? Later, you understood a principle: all things begin with obsession and end with obsession. It's like how I used to hate being called a child born

Cleared positions yesterday, watching the show today
ETH crashed 5%, has nothing to do with me
Trading isn't about entering the market every day, it's only about trading setups you understand
Preserving capital is how you survive in the market)
In cash, dodged the ETH dump
Don't catch falling knives, don't gamble on bounces
The market never lacks opportunities, what's lacking is patience, control your hands✋
#ETH #交易 #空仓 #Investment

投資心理必修課：核心要點清單
一、市場情緒循環：從FOMO到恐慌
核心表現：上漲時焦慮追高（FOMO），下跌時恐慌割肉，陷入"高買低賣"循環
本質原因：線性思維——將短期行情誤認為長期趨勢
破局關鍵：理解市場週期，踐行巴菲特"在別人恐懼時貪婪，在別人貪婪時恐懼"
1. **損失厭惡**
* "只要不賣就不是真虧"導致死扛虧損
* 沉沒成本謬誤：為回本繼續投入更多
* 止損痛苦遠大於止盈快樂
2. **錨定效應**
* 錨定歷史高點，認為"總會漲回去"
* 被"原價vs現價"等參考價欺騙
* 過度依賴過去業績預測未來
3. **羊群效應**
* 放棄獨立判斷，盲目跟隨大眾
* 牛市頂端成"接盤俠"，熊市谷底變"割肉者"
* 從郁金香泡沫到加密貨幣，歷史一再重演
三、理性決策系統五步構建法
1. **建立估值錨點**
* 用PE、PB等指標判斷資產貴賤
* 估值過高時警惕，估值底部時布局
* 遮價測試：忽略歷史價格，專注內在價值
2. **設立投資紀律**
* 提前設定止盈止損點，嚴格執行
* 不再掙扎"要不要賣"，按規則自動執行
* 警惕"超脫感"——認為自己能超越系統
3. **擁抱概率思維**
* 任何一筆交易都是隨機事件
* 以20-50筆交易為周期評估系統
* 不再