Asia-Pacific morning markets show clear divergence: US crude opens sharply lower, US stock index futures rally across the board, driven primarily by expectations of US-Iran ceasefire.



WTI crude opens down 3.83%, trading at $88.816/barrel; Brent crude falls 4.3%, to $99.99/barrel, with geopolitical risk premium declining rapidly.
US stock index futures surge in sync, Nasdaq-100 futures up 1%, Dow and S&P 500 futures both up 0.72%, risk sentiment clearly improving.

On the news front, the US proposes a one-month ceasefire plan and negotiations with Iran on 15-point agreement to end the conflict. The geopolitical hedging logic that previously supported oil prices has cooled significantly, pressuring oil prices downward, while risk assets experience recovery.
In the near term, markets will fluctuate around negotiation progress. If the situation continues to ease, oil prices may weaken further, and US stock risk appetite is expected to rise further.
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