#稳定币市场与基础设施 看到Solana联创预测稳定币规模2026年破1万亿美元，我的第一反应不是兴奋，而是警惕。

هذه السنوات التي قضيتها في العمل على السلسلة، رأيت الكثير من وعود "السوق التي تقدر بتريليونات". المشكلة ليست في أن العملات المستقرة ستنمو من تلقاء نفسها — الطلب موجود والاتجاه حقيقي. الأهم هو، في هذه العملية، كم من المشاريع ستنصب على "البنية التحتية للعملات المستقرة" لسرقة الحلق، وكم من الناس سيجنون من FOMO ويتبعون التيار بشكل أعمى.

الطرق التي سلكتها علمتني قاعدة: كلما كانت المسارات التي يراها كبار المستثمرين واعدة أكثر، كانت أكثر عرضة لصيد الصيادين. توسعة سوق العملات المستقرة إلى تريليونات تتطلب بالفعل المزيد من البنية التحتية والمشاركين، لكن هذا يعني أيضًا وجود العديد من المشاريع "الزائفة" التي تتظاهر بالابتكار وتعبث بالمياه.

المفتاح هو تعلم كيف تميز الناس. ليست كل الأشياء التي تروج لـ"الجيل القادم من العملات المستقرة" أو "البنية التحتية المبتكرة" تستحق التجربة. فحص دورة حياة المشروع، تاريخ الفريق، السيناريوهات الحقيقية للاستخدام، ومعدلات التبني — هذه المعايير الصلبة أكثر قيمة من الأوراق البيضاء الجميلة.

النمو في الحجم هو الاتجاه العام، لكن هذا ليس سببًا للدخول بسرعة. الأشخاص الذين يعيشون على السلسلة لفترة طويلة، غالبًا ليسوا من追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追追