#数字货币市场回升 From a Million in Debt to Financial Freedom: The Five Survival Rules I Verified in Three Years

It was 2018, and I went all in on an ICO project that looked very promising. A month later, the project team ran away, and not only did I lose all my principal, but I also owed a mountain of debt to relatives and friends. During that time, every day I would wake up to debt collection calls, and at night I would be haunted by nightmares of plummeting candlestick charts.

But it was that complete zeroing out that forced me to stop and think about one thing: what rules does this market operate under?

**The cycle is the game rule**
I spent a full six months going through all the halving data of BTC from 2010 to now. I discovered an iron rule: a year and a half before the halving is a window for building positions, and a year after the halving is the harvesting season. Other times? Either sideways or a gradual decline.

In early 2020, I implemented this logic. At that time, BTC was still hovering around $8000, and I gradually bought in with a 60% position. On March 12, the day the entire network experienced liquidation, my account was down 40%, and my hands were shaking. But I held on without making any moves because the halving cycle was not yet complete. By the end of the year, my account had more than tripled.

This teaches me: emotions can deceive, but cycles cannot.

**Position determines how long you can survive**
The term "full position" is a swear word to me. Now I am dividing the money into three piles:

Thirty percent is pinned on BTC and ETH, the big brothers, and they don't move with the ups and downs;
30% used for short-term trading, catching hot trends to make quick money;
Thirty percent is left lying in the bank card, specifically waiting for a black swan.

LUNA that time was saved by cash for me. At that moment, when UST was about to de-peg, I didn't panic. Instead, I used the reserved cash to buy in three batches when ETH dropped to 1000. That batch of goods is still sitting in my account, with the cost price right there.

I never invest more than 20% of my total assets in a single cryptocurrency. Even if it goes to zero, I still have 80% to make a comeback.

**Signals are a thousand times more reliable than feelings**
I used to be a technical analysis skeptic, thinking it was all just metaphysics. After losing hundreds of thousands, I surrendered.

Now I focus on three indicators every day:
If the RSI rises above 70, regardless of how high it goes, sell one third first;
MACD daily death cross, without hesitation reduce half of the position;
On-chain data shows that large holders have been offloading continuously for three days, clearing out without hesitation.

In 2021, when BTC surged to 64,000, I got off early using these three tricks. Many laughed at me for selling too early, but two months later, it was cut in half, and they all fell silent.

Technical indicators are like traffic lights; you may not believe them, but if you run them, something will inevitably go wrong.

**A crash is the opportunity to board**
When the market crashes, 90% of people are cursing, while I am watching the charts looking for support levels.

I have a notebook specifically for recording the historical lows and support zones of various cryptocurrencies. Every time there is a crash of over 30%, I start to observe: if it drops near the support level and shows a volume rebound of 15%, I immediately enter the market; after a 50% rebound, if there is a volume decrease and a 20% pullback, I exit immediately.

The night FTX collapsed, there was wailing all over the internet. I followed the script and operated, and the positions that were originally at a loss not only broke even but also made a small profit.

When others are in a panic, it is often the best time for opportunities. The prerequisite is that you must have a plan.

**If you don't upgrade your brain, your account will be cleared**
Now I read at least one project white paper every week, review all trading records every month, and reorganize the entire investment logic every year.

The lesson from the 2018 ICO was too profound: I went all in without even finishing the white paper. Now I only invest in projects that have real technological breakthroughs and application scenarios; those that only make empty promises are directly blacklisted.

The market changes too quickly; if you don't update your understanding, the money you've earned will eventually be returned.

**Finally, a few words**
I don't even touch leverage anymore. It's not an amplifier, it's a meat grinder. Unless you truly know how to manage risks, don't go and get yourself killed.

One more thing: every time I make a profit, I immediately withdraw the principal and only use the profits to continue playing. That way, even if I lose everything, I haven't actually lost anything.

From being in debt to now, I've survived on these few principles. There are no permanent victors in the crypto world, but as long as you understand the rules, adhere to discipline, and are willing to learn, you can at least live a little longer.