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$ETH Daily Market Analysis (2025-08-19)
🔸 Trend Judgment:
$ETH is showing a downward trend on the 4H timeframe. The MACD has formed a death cross, and bearish momentum continues. The price has broken below the 29 moving average (4368.85) and the 57 moving average (4350.88), confirming short-term bearish dominance. The KDJ is oversold, suggesting a possible short-term rebound, but the overall trend remains bearish.
🔑 Key Levels:
📈 Pressure:
• 4364 (adjusted wave low point, close to 29 vest line 4368.85)
• 4574.95 (adjusted wave high point)
• 4800 (previous high, difficult to reach as the trend is downward)
📉 Support:
• 4192.01 (latest sub-wave low point)
• 4000 (psychological support level)
• 3800 (previous adjustment wave low point area)
💡 Operation Strategy:
✅ Long (30% recommended):
• Entry: Around 4192 (stabilization required, need a candlestick with a pin or MACD histogram divergence)
• Stop loss: 4150 (below 4192 support)
• Target: 4364 / 4574 / 4800 (cautious)
⚠️ Short (70% recommended):
• Entry: 4350-4370 (rebound to resistance area, close to 4364 and 29 moving average)
• Stop loss: 4400 (above resistance zone)
• Target: 4192 / 4000 / 3800
📝 Summary:
$ETH has a clear short-term bearish trend, with the MACD death cross and price below the vest line confirming downward momentum. It is recommended to short at 4350-4370, with a stop loss at 4400 and a target of 4192-3800. If 4192 stabilizes (KDJ golden cross or MACD histogram shrinking), a light long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 4150 and a target of 4364-4574.