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- ๐ ETH jumped to $4,600 this morning, up 8.69% in 24h!
Just shy of the $4,891 ATHโthink it breaks through?
๐ Follow Gate_Square, vote and drop your reason.
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Dare to trade. Dare to win.ย
๐ Macro + Technical Crypto Outlook โ Aug 11
1๏ธโฃ Macro Catalysts
401(k) Access: Trump admin opens door for crypto in retirement accounts โ paving way for pension funds & long-term capital inflows.
Tariff Shift: US slaps tariffs on imported gold, pushing capital rotation toward Bitcoin as borderless store of value.
Rate Cut Odds: 76% chance of Fed cut in Sept. If todayโs CPI < 2.8% est., risk assets could rally further.
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2๏ธโฃ Capital Flows & Network Data
ETH Staking Lock-up: 28% of supply (35.5M ETH) staked; 3.8% APY supports institutional hold strategies.
ETF Divergence: BTC ETFs saw $196M net outflow; ETH ETFs +$34.15M inflow โ money leaning toward ETH ecosystem.
Liquidation Spike: $373M wiped in 24h, 113K traders cleared; shorts = 56% ($210M).
Liquidity Gap Risk: BTC orderbook thin near $120K โ fragile base, prone to flash crashes.
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3๏ธโฃ Technical Levels & Strategy
๐น $BTC
Key pivot: 119,345 โ Hold above = short-term pullback over, targets 121,800 / 122,335 / 123,300.
Fail to reclaim 119,345 = further 4H correction.
โโข Supports: 118,000 / 117,300 / 116,500
๐น $ETH
Key pivot: 4,235 โ Hold above = rally toward 4,350 / 4,390 / 4,430.
Lose 4,235 = 4H correction toward 4,150 / 4,050 / 4,000.
Major support: 4,061 โ hold = bounce likely.
๐น $BNB
Key pivot: 808 โ Break & hold = push to 815 / 821 / 827.
Below 808 = correction toward 791 / 781 / 776 / 767.
๐น $SOL
Key pivot: 182 โ Break & hold = push to 186 / 190 / 193.
Below 182 = correction toward 177 / 173 / 171 / 169.
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๐ Summary
Macro tailwinds + selective ETF inflows favor ETH and large-cap alts, but BTC faces liquidity gap risk near $120K.
Playbook: Trade around pivots, stay nimble on CPI print reaction.