Huage may have a lot of money, but this post today clearly shows a common beginner mistake of an overly long reasoning chain😑
As shown in the image: using hypothesis 1 to reach conclusion 2, then using conclusion 2 to reach conclusion 3, using conclusion 3 to reach conclusion 4. Even if each step has a 90% accuracy rate, the final accuracy is only around 65%. So, for us retail investors, don't make it so complicated. It's better to keep it simple: It dropped, fuck yeah, buy the dip✊
Huage may have a lot of money, but this post today clearly shows a common beginner mistake of an overly long reasoning chain😑
As shown in the image: using hypothesis 1 to reach conclusion 2, then using conclusion 2 to reach conclusion 3, using conclusion 3 to reach conclusion 4. Even if each step has a 90% accuracy rate, the final accuracy is only around 65%.
So, for us retail investors, don't make it so complicated. It's better to keep it simple:
It dropped, fuck yeah, buy the dip✊