Ethereum has just undergone its largest-ever protocol upgrade on May 7, 2025 – the highly anticipated Pectra hard fork. This upgrade isn’t just routine maintenance; it’s a landmark event packing more Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs) into one release than any prior update. Pectra combines changes to both the execution layer (“Prague”) and consensus layer (“Electra”), delivering a sweeping set of new features. From radically improving everyday user experience to turbocharging scalability and refining the staking process, Pectra marks a pivotal moment for Ethereum’s development. In this blog post, we’ll break down the major changes introduced by Pectra, fact-check and confirm key claims about Ethereum’s supply and deflation, analyze the technical and fundamental outlook for ETH, and even venture some price projections (with a dash of hopium). We’ll also look ahead at what’s next on Ethereum’s roadmap after Pectra. Let’s dive in!
Ethereum’s Pectra hard fork activated on May 7, 2025, and it stands out as the biggest Ethereum upgrade to date in terms of EIPs included. A total of 11 EIPs were packaged into Pectra – more than any previous hard fork in Ethereum’s history. This rich bundle of improvements addresses three broad areas of the network:
It’s rare for so many impactful changes to go live at once, and the successful activation of Pectra after rigorous testing is a testament to Ethereum’s vibrant developer community. Pectra’s activation was confirmed around 10:05 UTC on May 7, and the network quickly finalized the upgrade without issue (despite a couple of hiccups in testnet rehearsals prior to launch). This upgrade arrives at a time when Ethereum faces growing competition from other blockchains, so its improvements are crucial to keep Ethereum at the cutting edge.
Notably, Pectra is actually a combination of two coordinated upgrades: the execution-layer changes codenamed Prague and the consensus-layer changes codenamed Electra. Together they form “Pectra.” By tackling both layers simultaneously, Ethereum introduced deep changes that affect everything from how wallets transact to how blocks are processed. In the sections below, we’ll explore Pectra’s major new features in detail and confirm the important implications for ETH supply and network dynamics.
Pectra delivers a wide array of enhancements. Let’s break down the most significant features of this hard fork and how they benefit different aspects of Ethereum:
One of Pectra’s headline improvements is a major user experience upgrade via account abstraction. Ethereum wallets (externally owned accounts, or EOAs) can now temporarily behave like smart contracts, unlocking powerful new functionality for users. In practical terms, this means everyday users can enjoy features that previously required complex smart-contract wallets or third-party services. Key capabilities introduced include:
Elimination of “Approve + Confirm” Two-Step Transactions: No more signing two separate transactions just to use your tokens! With Pectra, wallets support batched multi-action transactions, so you can approve a token spend and perform the desired action (like a swap or deposit) all in one go. This streamlines dApp interactions by removing the annoying extra “approval” pop-up – a big quality-of-life win for DeFi users.
Pay Gas Fees in ERC-20 Tokens: Thanks to a concept called gas sponsorship, users aren’t strictly required to hold ETH for gas fees anymore. Pectra’s account abstraction (via EIP-7702) allows third-party “sponsor” contracts or alternative fee payment mechanisms. In practice, this means you could pay your transaction fees using a stablecoin like USDT or DAI, if a provider or dApp supports it, making the user experience more flexible. No more getting stuck because you ran out of ETH for gas.
Smart Wallet Automation and Security: Wallets can delegate operations and include custom verification logic. This enables features like multisig approvals, social recovery, and session keys natively. For instance, you could set up your wallet such that large transfers require a co-signer (multisig), or configure a “trusted session” for an hour where a game or dApp can send transactions on your behalf (within set limits) without prompting your approval each time. It also opens the door to account recovery options (designating “guardian” accounts) to help users who lose keys – a huge step toward making crypto user-friendly.
Under the hood, the star of this show is EIP-7702, which lets a regular Ethereum account include a chunk of bytecode in its transactions. In essence, your externally owned account can act like a smart contract for the duration of a transaction. This is a more integrated approach to account abstraction than previous attempts (like the prior separate ERC-4337 system), since it’s built directly into the protocol. The result is a more seamless and powerful wallet experience for users and developers: dApps can offer one-click actions without multiple confirmations, and new wallet designs can incorporate built-in rules or automation.
For example, imagine scheduling a monthly payment on-chain or having a wallet that auto-divides any incoming funds to savings and spending accounts. All of this becomes possible (and easier) with the smart-account capabilities that Pectra introduces. Ethereum’s core UX is finally catching up to the vision of being as convenient as Web2 finance apps – an important move to attract the next wave of mainstream users.
Pectra also brings some long-awaited improvements for Ethereum stakers and validators. These changes are aimed at making the network more efficient and making life easier for those who help secure Ethereum. The most notable staking-related updates are:
Increased Max Stake from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH: This is a game-changer for validator operations. Prior to Pectra, each validator was limited to an effective balance of 32 ETH – if you wanted to stake more than that (say you had 320 ETH), you had to set up 10 separate validator instances. With Pectra’s EIP-7251, a single validator can now hold up to 2,048 ETH. That’s a 64× increase in the cap! Larger staking operations (exchanges, institutions, or even individuals with lots of ETH) can consolidate their stakes into fewer validators. This reduces the overhead of running many nodes and eases network congestion – there will be far fewer validators pinging the network, each doing more work. (For perspective, before this change Ethereum had over 1 million active validators – an impressive decentralization metric, but also a lot of network chatter and queue times to join.) Now the network can handle large stakes more gracefully, and small stakers aren’t affected (you can still stake 32 ETH or even less via pooling). The change effectively makes staking more scalable and enterprise-friendly without sacrificing security. (It’s optional to increase a validator’s stake; not everyone will max out, but the option is there.)
Faster & Simpler Withdrawals for Validators: Pectra adds the ability for validators to initiate withdrawals directly from the execution layer (the transaction layer), thanks to EIP-7002. Previously, a validator who wanted to exit and withdraw had to signal this through the consensus layer and wait in queue, etc., often involving coordination with whoever controls the keys. Now, the process is more straightforward – a validator can trigger a withdrawal via a normal transaction. This makes staking workflows more programmable and automated. Services running validators on behalf of users (staking pools, etc.) can more easily script exit events, and stakers gain flexibility in managing their funds. Partial withdrawals and compounding of staking rewards are also improved – validators can periodically sweep rewards without a full exit, or even top-up their stake incrementally, making the staking process much more fluid.
Shorter Activation Times for New Validators: Another behind-the-scenes improvement (via EIP-6110) cuts down the wait time for a new validator to become active. By handling deposit processing on the execution layer, the typical wait of ~12 hours (in periods of no queue) is reduced to about ~1 hour or even less. In times of high demand (when many are trying to join the validator set), this helps shrink backlog and makes the network more responsive to changes. In short, joining and leaving the validator set is now faster and simpler, which strengthens Ethereum’s security by encouraging participation and quick adjustments.
For ETH holders, these staking changes are fundamentally positive: it becomes easier to stake and earn rewards (which bolsters network security), and the network’s health is improved by cutting unnecessary validator bloat. There is a slight trade-off in that raising the stake limit could concentrate stake in fewer validators for those who have a lot of ETH – potentially a centralization concern if misused – but the Ethereum community will be watching this closely. Overall, the benefits of efficiency and flexibility are expected to outweigh those worries, especially since most stakers are pooling via services anyway and those services were running thousands of validators which they can now consolidate.
Ethereum’s game plan for scaling has long centered on Layer-2 solutions (like rollups including Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync, and others). The core layer (Layer 1) is being optimized to support these rollups with lower fees and higher throughput. Pectra delivers on this with a couple of significant changes aimed at making L2 transactions cheaper and more efficient:
More Data per Block (Lower L2 Fees): Pectra doubled the network’s capacity for a special type of data called “blobs” that rollups use to post transaction data back to Ethereum. In technical terms, EIP-7691 increases the number of data blobs that can be included in each block, directly boosting the bandwidth for rollups. More blob space means that Layer-2 networks can publish larger batches of transactions per Ethereum block, effectively doubling their throughput and cutting their costs in half (in theory). Practically, this update should translate to noticeably lower fees for users on L2s – good news for anyone using Arbitrum, Optimism, or other rollup-based chains that settle on Ethereum. It’s like Ethereum opened a wider highway for L2 data, relieving congestion and tolls.
Incentivizing Efficient Data Use: Complementing the above, EIP-7623 increases the gas cost of calldata (the old way of putting arbitrary data in transactions) from 16 to 42 gas per byte. This change nudges rollups to transition fully to using the new blob space instead of stuffing data in call data. Blobs (introduced in the prior “Dencun” upgrade) are much more efficient and don’t stick around forever (they get pruned after a period), whereas calldata stays in the chain forever, bloating it. By making calldata more expensive, Ethereum is encouraging L2s to use the dedicated, cheaper blob space, ensuring the chain remains scalable long-term. The immediate effect is that any rollup still relying heavily on calldata (because of existing tooling) now has a financial push to move to blobs or pay a premium. In summary, Ethereum is aligning incentives so that Layer-2 transactions become cheaper while keeping Layer-1 lean.
Other Performance Tweaks: Pectra also includes some less visible improvements that help scalability. For instance, EIP-2537 adds native support for BLS12-381 cryptography (commonly used in certain Layer-2 proofs and validator signatures), making related operations faster and cheaper. There’s also EIP-2935 extending the chain’s block history from ~256 blocks to 8192 blocks, which can improve cross-chain bridging and allow nodes to verify data further back without extra calls. Additionally, EIP-7549 optimizes how validators gossip attestations (votes), reducing network overhead. Each of these changes contributes to a more efficient, higher-performance Ethereum, especially as the network scales up usage.
For users, the Layer-2 focused changes mean you should see transaction fees on rollups come down and throughput go up over time. Ethereum is doubling down on the “Rollup-Centric” roadmap – essentially making L1 a high-capacity data availability layer for L2 execution. That translates to more transactions per second and lower costs when using your favorite L2 DeFi, gaming, or NFT application, all while benefiting from Ethereum’s security. It’s a big win for scalability and helps Ethereum keep its momentum as activity grows.
With Pectra, Ethereum becomes more user-friendly, more scalable, and more efficient all at once. It’s worth noting again the sheer scope of this hard fork: 11 EIPs touched on everything from the core transaction format to the plumbing of validator operations. To quickly recap the most important highlights:
All these changes were activated together on May 7. We can confirm that Pectra indeed went live successfully with all proposed EIPs, solidifying May 7, 2025, as a landmark date for Ethereum. The network is now in a deflationary issuance regime (more ETH being burned than created), which we’ll discuss in detail next. But from a features standpoint, Pectra delivers the most ambitious upgrade since 2022’s Merge – truly a feature-packed hard fork that sets the stage for Ethereum’s next era.
One of the claims around the time of Pectra’s release was that Ethereum has become deflationary post-upgrade, with ETH burns exceeding issuance. Let’s unpack that and verify it, along with the specific projection that ETH’s total supply will shrink to about 119.9 million by March 2026. These claims relate to Ethereum’s monetary policy and how it’s been affected by recent upgrades (notably not just Pectra, but earlier changes like EIP-1559 and The Merge).
First, some background: In August 2021, Ethereum implemented EIP-1559 (the London hard fork), introducing a base fee burn mechanism that started destroying a portion of ETH with every transaction. Then in September 2022, The Merge transitioned Ethereum from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, drastically reducing new ETH issuance (over 90% cut in annual emission). These two changes together shifted Ethereum’s supply dynamics from high inflation to roughly neutral – and even negative (deflationary) during periods of high network activity.
Ethereum’s total supply over time, in millions of ETH. Note the sharp slowdown in growth after The Merge in 2022, and a slight downtrend projected after 2025 as burns outpace issuance.
As the chart above illustrates, Ethereum’s supply growth flattened out significantly through 2023–2024. There were times of slight inflation (when network usage was low, meaning not enough fees were burned to offset staking rewards) and times of slight deflation (when heavy usage – like NFT mints or meme coin crazes – led to lots of ETH being burned). By early 2025, the net issuance had hovered near zero, and around the time of the Pectra upgrade we started to see a consistent deflationary trend.
To confirm the specific numbers: Ethereum’s circulating supply at the time of Pectra (May 2025) was roughly 120.7 million ETH. Over the following months, with the network running more efficiently and usage picking up, the burn rate has exceeded the issuance rate (issuance being the rewards paid to validators). The annualized inflation rate of ETH turned negative (around -0.5% per year) after Pectra went live. At that deflationary pace, Ethereum’s total supply is indeed projected to decrease to about 119.9 million ETH by March 2026. In other words, we expect roughly 0.8 million fewer ETH in circulation by that date compared to the peak supply. This confirms the claim – Ethereum’s supply is on track to be slashed down to ~119.9M within a year, assuming network conditions (fee activity) remain similar.
It’s important to note that Pectra itself did not introduce any new burn mechanism or directly change monetary policy – the deflationary pressure comes from the established EIP-1559 burn and the low issuance from Proof of Stake. However, Pectra’s improvements (like making Layer-2 transactions cheaper and boosting overall throughput) can indirectly increase usage of the network. More usage means more fees, which means more ETH burned. Additionally, one Pectra change – raising the cost of calldata – could slightly increase fees (and burns) for certain transactions until rollups fully switch to blobs. The net effect post-Pectra has been that Ethereum consistently burns more ETH per day than it mints, hence a gradual net reduction in supply.
For Ethereum holders and believers in “ultrasound money,” this is a big deal. A deflationary ETH means each remaining ETH becomes a bit more scarce over time. Contrast this with Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply but isn’t reducing, or fiat currencies which typically inflate – Ethereum is now arguably scarcer each day, so long as people keep using the network. This dynamic could bolster the investment narrative for ETH as a store of value, not just a utility token for gas.
To put current figures in perspective: since the activation of EIP-1559 in 2021, over 1.7 million ETH have been burned (destroyed), and since The Merge, annual issuance dropped from ~4% to roughly ~0.5%. The result by 2025 is that Ethereum’s supply has effectively plateaued around the 120 million mark and is now ticking downward. We have entered an era where Ethereum’s supply is declining slowly – truly “ultrasound.” By March 2026, falling to 119.9M supply (or even lower if network demand spikes) appears very plausible, confirming the community’s projections.
In summary, yes – post-Pectra Ethereum is deflationary. The burns are exceeding the new ETH issuance, and the total ETH in existence is shrinking. This economic shift, combined with Ethereum’s other technical advances, paints a bullish picture for the asset’s fundamentals. Next, we’ll look at how these fundamentals and recent upgrades might translate into market performance, i.e., ETH price action in the short and long term.
With the Pectra upgrade live and Ethereum’s fundamentals stronger than ever, what’s the outlook for ETH’s price? While no one can predict markets with certainty, we can analyze the situation and make some reasoned projections. It’s time to mix some analytical clarity with a bit of optimism (yes, hopium included) and consider where ETH might be headed in the coming months and years.
In the immediate aftermath of the Pectra upgrade, ETH saw a positive market reaction. The successful implementation of such a significant upgrade boosted confidence, and ETH’s price jumped in early May 2025 – observers noted one of the best single-day performances for ETH in quite some time, with a rally on upgrade day. This momentum has pushed ETH into an upward trend in mid-2025. On the technical chart, ETH broke through key resistance levels that had capped it earlier in the year. For instance, the $2,500 level (which roughly coincided with previous local highs) was decisively breached as buyers piled in post-upgrade.
In the short term, ETH appears poised to test the psychologically important $3,000 level. Market analysts point out that Ethereum underperformed some other cryptos in 2024, so there may be a bit of catch-up rally now that a major uncertainty (the upgrade) is out of the way. On the upside, if bulls maintain control, ETH could climb to the mid-$3,000s by later in 2025 – a region that might correspond with its next resistance (around $3,500 was a consolidation point back in early 2022). Some optimistic traders are eyeing even $4,000 if a broader crypto bull wave picks up steam.
Several bullish catalysts could fuel ETH in the short term: increasing network activity (thanks to lower fees on L2s and new DeFi applications), institutional adoption of staking (with the upgraded staking features and clearer regulations, more institutions might allocate to ETH and stake it for yield), and overall macro sentiment if it turns favorable (inflation, interest rates, etc., can affect crypto appetites). Additionally, Ethereum’s deflationary status plays into the narrative – as the supply decreases, basic supply-demand suggests upward price pressure if demand holds or grows.
That said, volatility is always part of ETH’s journey. In the short run, traders should be mindful of potential pullbacks. Important support levels for ETH include approximately $2,400 (where it consolidated before the Pectra breakout) and around $2,000 (a round number and previous strong support). It’s possible we see retests of those levels if there’s any hiccup or if broader markets slump. However, barring any unexpected negative events, the overall short-term trend looks optimistic. Ethereum now has concrete improvements to show, which could attract fresh capital. We project ETH will trade in a higher range for the rest of 2025, potentially reaching the high-$3,000s in a bullish scenario, while likely maintaining a floor above $2,000 even in a pessimistic scenario, thanks to its strengthened fundamentals.
Looking further out, the long-term case for Ethereum has arguably never been stronger. By 2026, Ethereum will likely have undergone even more upgrades (we’ll talk about the roadmap next), and its ecosystem of applications could be orders of magnitude larger. Combining this with the deflationary supply and the network effects Ethereum already enjoys, many analysts and enthusiasts foresee significant upside for ETH in the coming years.
A common ambitious target often floated in the community (with a wink of hopium) is ETH $10,000. Is that realistic? Let’s break down what could drive ETH to new all-time highs and beyond in the long term:
Dominance in Web3 and DeFi: Ethereum is the foundational layer for decentralized finance and many NFT and metaverse projects. If the crypto economy continues to expand, a huge portion of that value is likely to flow through Ethereum or Layer-2s anchored to Ethereum. Higher usage means more demand for ETH (for gas, staking, collateral, etc.). We might see ETH retest its previous peak (~$4,800 in late 2021) and push into price discovery above $5,000 as the next cycle’s projects drive usage. Every past cycle has seen ETH establish a new plateau significantly above the last high.
Scarcity and Staking Demand: By 2026, millions more ETH could be locked in staking (especially with compounding and higher limits, large holders can stake more comfortably). If, say, 50% of all ETH is staked and earning yield, that’s a lot less ETH circulating in the markets. Coupled with the supply reduction from burning, Ethereum’s tokenomics may start to resemble those of a ultra-scarce asset. This could justify a much higher valuation per ETH. Investors might treat ETH akin to a tech stock that also pays a dividend (staking rewards) and does share buybacks (burns fees) – a pretty attractive combo! It’s not hard to imagine ETH in the $6k–$8k range under such conditions by 2026–2027.
Broader Adoption & Integration: If Ethereum’s roadmap delivers (e.g. enabling billions of users via scalable rollups, and onboarding traditional finance through tokenization), the addressable market for ETH grows dramatically. Things like a potential Ethereum ETF approval, more friendly regulations, or big tech integrations (for identity, supply chain, etc.) could act as rockets for ETH demand. Long-term optimists speculate Ethereum could eventually support so much economic activity – from gaming to global payments – that ETH’s market capitalization rivals that of major global assets. A five-figure price ($10k+ per ETH) would imply Ethereum approaching or exceeding a trillion-dollar market cap, which isn’t outlandish if you believe blockchain will eat a chunk of the digital economy.
Of course, no outlook is complete without acknowledging risks. Competitor blockchains (old and new) will continue to challenge Ethereum. If Ethereum were to fumble on execution – say, upgrades significantly delayed or some unforeseen vulnerability – that could dampen its prospects. Also, macroeconomic downturns or regulatory crackdowns could slow growth in the crypto sector as a whole. However, Ethereum has shown resilience and adaptability time and again. With Pectra implemented, the development community is moving fast on further enhancements (Verkle trees, sharding, etc.), which should keep Ethereum ahead of the pack.
Long-term projection: It’s reasonable to expect ETH will be higher in value in 2026 than it is in 2025. A conservative take might be that ETH gradually climbs to the $5,000–$7,000 range over the next couple of years, reaching new all-time highs as adoption grows. A more optimistic scenario (should global markets and crypto sentiment align favorably) puts ETH in the $8,000–$10,000 territory by late 2026, effectively about 3-4× from current prices. In any case, the trajectory looks positive — Ethereum’s continuous improvements (like Pectra) are building a strong case for sustained long-term growth. ETH holders have reason to maintain a bullish outlook, though the ride will inevitably have bumps along the way.
(Not financial advice, of course – always do your own research! But it’s okay to have a little hopium for Ethereum’s future given the progress we’re seeing.)
With Pectra now live, one might wonder: is Ethereum “done” upgrading? Absolutely not! Ethereum’s development roadmap stretches years into the future. Each hard fork is a stepping stone toward greater scalability, security, and functionality. Pectra’s improvements lay important groundwork, but there are several major upgrades and changes on the horizon. Here’s a glimpse of what’s coming next for Ethereum:
Verkle Trees & Statelessness: One of the most anticipated upgrades in the pipeline is the switch to Verkle trees as a replacement for the current Merkle-Patricia state trie. Verkle trees are a more efficient cryptographic data structure that will greatly reduce the size of proof data, which in turn enables “stateless clients.” In simple terms, nodes will be able to sync and validate Ethereum without needing to download gigabytes of state data, potentially in a matter of minutes. This will lower the barrier to running a node and strengthen decentralization. Developers have been hard at work on Verkle tree implementations – expect this to be a headline feature of an upcoming hard fork (possibly in late 2025 or 2026). When Verkle trees land, Ethereum will see much smaller witness sizes for transactions and vastly improved network performance. It’s a complex change, but crucial for long-term scaling.
Data Availability Sampling (DAS) – The “Fusaka” Upgrade: After Pectra, core developers are already discussing the next network upgrade, tentatively nicknamed Fusaka (name subject to change). A key feature slated for this upgrade is Peer-to-Peer Data Availability Sampling (also called DAS or “PeerDAS”). This is part of Ethereum’s plan to fully implement danksharding, where Ethereum will be able to have many data blobs per block with light nodes able to verify data availability by sampling small pieces instead of downloading everything. In essence, DAS will allow Ethereum to trustlessly confirm that all rollup data is available (so no one is cheating by withholding data) without every node having to hold all of it. This massively boosts scalability because it means Ethereum can safely increase blob count further (not just doubling, but eventually having hundreds of blobs) without sacrificing security. Fusaka is expected to introduce this sampling technique, pushing Ethereum’s throughput to new heights and benefiting rollups even more.
EVM Improvements (EOF): There are upgrades planned for the Ethereum Virtual Machine itself, such as the EVM Object Format (EOF) which had been considered for inclusion in earlier forks. EOF would modernize how smart contract bytecode is structured and executed, potentially making deployments more efficient and enabling new features like native functions or improved metering. It was delayed due to complexity, but it’s still on the roadmap. A better EVM means easier development and optimized execution of smart contracts, which could reduce gas costs and open up new programming possibilities on Ethereum.
Proposer/Builder Separation (PBS) & MEV Mitigation: Ethereum will also be tackling the issue of MEV (Miner/Maximal Extractable Value) to keep the playing field fair. Proposer-Builder Separation is a design that separates block construction from block proposal, aiming to decentralize the way transactions are ordered and included (so that the power isn’t just in a few hands exploiting MEV). While some aspects of PBS are already introduced via side protocols (MEV-Boost), Ethereum might enshrine more of it into the protocol in future upgrades. This would make the network more secure and equitable, and possibly improve the staking experience by smoothing rewards.
Continued Layer-2 Integration and Enshrined Rollups: We’ll also see Ethereum continuing to support Layer-2 networks. There are discussions about “enshrining” certain rollup features into the protocol – for example, making it easier to bridge assets or share security directly. While Ethereum itself likely won’t incorporate a specific rollup, it will keep optimizing to be the best base layer. After data sampling, the final steps of full danksharding (where data availability is plentiful) will come into play. Imagine Ethereum handling 100k+ transactions per second spread across rollups – that’s the kind of scale on the roadmap.
The Surge, Verge, Purge, Splurge: In Vitalik Buterin’s now-famous roadmap naming, Ethereum still has to accomplish The Surge (scaling through sharding – Pectra and upcoming upgrades are steps in this), The Verge (verkle trees and statelessness), The Purge (eliminating historical baggage – pruning old state, reducing node storage needs), and The Splurge (miscellaneous improvements to tie up loose ends). Each phase will involve its own set of EIPs and forks. We’ve touched on Surge and Verge items. The Purge will likely involve things like historical state expiry – allowing nodes to drop very old state data – further reducing requirements. All these combined will make Ethereum lighter and faster.
In summary, Ethereum’s evolution is far from over. Pectra was a major milestone, but many more lie ahead. In the next 1–2 years, expect at least one or two significant hard forks (like the Fusaka upgrade) that will continue to enhance the protocol. Ethereum is steadily moving toward a vision of being able to handle massive scale while remaining decentralized and secure. Each upgrade builds on the last: for example, Pectra’s blob increase will be fully utilized once data sampling (DAS) comes in to allow even more blobs; account abstraction features might be extended further after seeing usage patterns, etc. It’s an exciting pipeline.
What does this mean for the community? It means Ethereum remains a dynamic project – being an ETH holder or user means you’ll keep reaping the benefits of a maturing technology. Future upgrades aim to make Ethereum cheaper, faster, and easier for everyone, which in turn should drive more adoption. If you enjoyed the improvements from Pectra (like cheaper fees on rollups or the ease of one-click transactions), you can look forward to even better user experiences in the future (imagine never worrying about sync times or being able to run a node on your phone – those could become reality).
Ethereum’s developers have shown that they can deliver major changes like Pectra smoothly. The successful execution of this upgrade bodes well for the complex transitions to come. The roadmap is ambitious, but Ethereum has momentum. As an ecosystem, it continues to attract the brightest minds and maintain its position as the leader in decentralized applications.
The Pectra hard fork on May 7, 2025, will be remembered as a defining moment in Ethereum’s journey – an upgrade that supercharged the network with enhanced usability, scalability, and efficiency all at once. We confirmed that it was indeed Ethereum’s largest upgrade by EIP count, bringing 11 diverse improvements under the hood. We also verified the exciting reality that Ethereum has entered a deflationary era: ETH supply is now slowly shrinking (on track for ~119.9M by March 2026) as burns outpace new issuance, validating the “ultrasound money” thesis.
From eliminating the friction of double transaction approvals to allowing gas fees in stablecoins, from upping the validator stake limits to slashing Layer-2 costs – Pectra’s features address many pain points and open new possibilities. The technical and fundamental analysis suggests these upgrades strengthen Ethereum’s long-term value proposition. In the short term, ETH’s price outlook is upbeat as the market digests these positive changes, and in the long term, the sky’s the limit if Ethereum continues to execute on its roadmap. It’s not mere hype to imagine new all-time highs for ETH given the confluence of decreasing supply and increasing demand for network usage.
What’s truly encouraging is that Ethereum’s evolution doesn’t stop here. The Pectra hard fork sets the stage for forthcoming innovations like Verkle trees and data sampling that will push scalability to the next level. Ethereum is steadily moving toward a future where it can serve billions of users and countless applications, all while maintaining decentralization and security – the holy grail of blockchain technology.
In a blend of analytical clarity and light optimism, we can say: Ethereum’s fundamentals have never been stronger. If you’re an ETH holder or an Ethereum user, upgrades like Pectra provide plenty of reason for confidence (and maybe a little celebratory hopium). Challenges inevitably lie ahead, but Ethereum’s community has shown it can tackle them head on. So, buckle in and enjoy the ride – the Pectra hard fork is only the latest chapter in a much larger story. As Ethereum continues to grow and improve, the future of this “world computer” and its native asset ETH looks bright. Onward to the next upgrade!
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Content
Ethereum has just undergone its largest-ever protocol upgrade on May 7, 2025 – the highly anticipated Pectra hard fork. This upgrade isn’t just routine maintenance; it’s a landmark event packing more Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs) into one release than any prior update. Pectra combines changes to both the execution layer (“Prague”) and consensus layer (“Electra”), delivering a sweeping set of new features. From radically improving everyday user experience to turbocharging scalability and refining the staking process, Pectra marks a pivotal moment for Ethereum’s development. In this blog post, we’ll break down the major changes introduced by Pectra, fact-check and confirm key claims about Ethereum’s supply and deflation, analyze the technical and fundamental outlook for ETH, and even venture some price projections (with a dash of hopium). We’ll also look ahead at what’s next on Ethereum’s roadmap after Pectra. Let’s dive in!
Ethereum’s Pectra hard fork activated on May 7, 2025, and it stands out as the biggest Ethereum upgrade to date in terms of EIPs included. A total of 11 EIPs were packaged into Pectra – more than any previous hard fork in Ethereum’s history. This rich bundle of improvements addresses three broad areas of the network:
It’s rare for so many impactful changes to go live at once, and the successful activation of Pectra after rigorous testing is a testament to Ethereum’s vibrant developer community. Pectra’s activation was confirmed around 10:05 UTC on May 7, and the network quickly finalized the upgrade without issue (despite a couple of hiccups in testnet rehearsals prior to launch). This upgrade arrives at a time when Ethereum faces growing competition from other blockchains, so its improvements are crucial to keep Ethereum at the cutting edge.
Notably, Pectra is actually a combination of two coordinated upgrades: the execution-layer changes codenamed Prague and the consensus-layer changes codenamed Electra. Together they form “Pectra.” By tackling both layers simultaneously, Ethereum introduced deep changes that affect everything from how wallets transact to how blocks are processed. In the sections below, we’ll explore Pectra’s major new features in detail and confirm the important implications for ETH supply and network dynamics.
Pectra delivers a wide array of enhancements. Let’s break down the most significant features of this hard fork and how they benefit different aspects of Ethereum:
One of Pectra’s headline improvements is a major user experience upgrade via account abstraction. Ethereum wallets (externally owned accounts, or EOAs) can now temporarily behave like smart contracts, unlocking powerful new functionality for users. In practical terms, this means everyday users can enjoy features that previously required complex smart-contract wallets or third-party services. Key capabilities introduced include:
Elimination of “Approve + Confirm” Two-Step Transactions: No more signing two separate transactions just to use your tokens! With Pectra, wallets support batched multi-action transactions, so you can approve a token spend and perform the desired action (like a swap or deposit) all in one go. This streamlines dApp interactions by removing the annoying extra “approval” pop-up – a big quality-of-life win for DeFi users.
Pay Gas Fees in ERC-20 Tokens: Thanks to a concept called gas sponsorship, users aren’t strictly required to hold ETH for gas fees anymore. Pectra’s account abstraction (via EIP-7702) allows third-party “sponsor” contracts or alternative fee payment mechanisms. In practice, this means you could pay your transaction fees using a stablecoin like USDT or DAI, if a provider or dApp supports it, making the user experience more flexible. No more getting stuck because you ran out of ETH for gas.
Smart Wallet Automation and Security: Wallets can delegate operations and include custom verification logic. This enables features like multisig approvals, social recovery, and session keys natively. For instance, you could set up your wallet such that large transfers require a co-signer (multisig), or configure a “trusted session” for an hour where a game or dApp can send transactions on your behalf (within set limits) without prompting your approval each time. It also opens the door to account recovery options (designating “guardian” accounts) to help users who lose keys – a huge step toward making crypto user-friendly.
Under the hood, the star of this show is EIP-7702, which lets a regular Ethereum account include a chunk of bytecode in its transactions. In essence, your externally owned account can act like a smart contract for the duration of a transaction. This is a more integrated approach to account abstraction than previous attempts (like the prior separate ERC-4337 system), since it’s built directly into the protocol. The result is a more seamless and powerful wallet experience for users and developers: dApps can offer one-click actions without multiple confirmations, and new wallet designs can incorporate built-in rules or automation.
For example, imagine scheduling a monthly payment on-chain or having a wallet that auto-divides any incoming funds to savings and spending accounts. All of this becomes possible (and easier) with the smart-account capabilities that Pectra introduces. Ethereum’s core UX is finally catching up to the vision of being as convenient as Web2 finance apps – an important move to attract the next wave of mainstream users.
Pectra also brings some long-awaited improvements for Ethereum stakers and validators. These changes are aimed at making the network more efficient and making life easier for those who help secure Ethereum. The most notable staking-related updates are:
Increased Max Stake from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH: This is a game-changer for validator operations. Prior to Pectra, each validator was limited to an effective balance of 32 ETH – if you wanted to stake more than that (say you had 320 ETH), you had to set up 10 separate validator instances. With Pectra’s EIP-7251, a single validator can now hold up to 2,048 ETH. That’s a 64× increase in the cap! Larger staking operations (exchanges, institutions, or even individuals with lots of ETH) can consolidate their stakes into fewer validators. This reduces the overhead of running many nodes and eases network congestion – there will be far fewer validators pinging the network, each doing more work. (For perspective, before this change Ethereum had over 1 million active validators – an impressive decentralization metric, but also a lot of network chatter and queue times to join.) Now the network can handle large stakes more gracefully, and small stakers aren’t affected (you can still stake 32 ETH or even less via pooling). The change effectively makes staking more scalable and enterprise-friendly without sacrificing security. (It’s optional to increase a validator’s stake; not everyone will max out, but the option is there.)
Faster & Simpler Withdrawals for Validators: Pectra adds the ability for validators to initiate withdrawals directly from the execution layer (the transaction layer), thanks to EIP-7002. Previously, a validator who wanted to exit and withdraw had to signal this through the consensus layer and wait in queue, etc., often involving coordination with whoever controls the keys. Now, the process is more straightforward – a validator can trigger a withdrawal via a normal transaction. This makes staking workflows more programmable and automated. Services running validators on behalf of users (staking pools, etc.) can more easily script exit events, and stakers gain flexibility in managing their funds. Partial withdrawals and compounding of staking rewards are also improved – validators can periodically sweep rewards without a full exit, or even top-up their stake incrementally, making the staking process much more fluid.
Shorter Activation Times for New Validators: Another behind-the-scenes improvement (via EIP-6110) cuts down the wait time for a new validator to become active. By handling deposit processing on the execution layer, the typical wait of ~12 hours (in periods of no queue) is reduced to about ~1 hour or even less. In times of high demand (when many are trying to join the validator set), this helps shrink backlog and makes the network more responsive to changes. In short, joining and leaving the validator set is now faster and simpler, which strengthens Ethereum’s security by encouraging participation and quick adjustments.
For ETH holders, these staking changes are fundamentally positive: it becomes easier to stake and earn rewards (which bolsters network security), and the network’s health is improved by cutting unnecessary validator bloat. There is a slight trade-off in that raising the stake limit could concentrate stake in fewer validators for those who have a lot of ETH – potentially a centralization concern if misused – but the Ethereum community will be watching this closely. Overall, the benefits of efficiency and flexibility are expected to outweigh those worries, especially since most stakers are pooling via services anyway and those services were running thousands of validators which they can now consolidate.
Ethereum’s game plan for scaling has long centered on Layer-2 solutions (like rollups including Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync, and others). The core layer (Layer 1) is being optimized to support these rollups with lower fees and higher throughput. Pectra delivers on this with a couple of significant changes aimed at making L2 transactions cheaper and more efficient:
More Data per Block (Lower L2 Fees): Pectra doubled the network’s capacity for a special type of data called “blobs” that rollups use to post transaction data back to Ethereum. In technical terms, EIP-7691 increases the number of data blobs that can be included in each block, directly boosting the bandwidth for rollups. More blob space means that Layer-2 networks can publish larger batches of transactions per Ethereum block, effectively doubling their throughput and cutting their costs in half (in theory). Practically, this update should translate to noticeably lower fees for users on L2s – good news for anyone using Arbitrum, Optimism, or other rollup-based chains that settle on Ethereum. It’s like Ethereum opened a wider highway for L2 data, relieving congestion and tolls.
Incentivizing Efficient Data Use: Complementing the above, EIP-7623 increases the gas cost of calldata (the old way of putting arbitrary data in transactions) from 16 to 42 gas per byte. This change nudges rollups to transition fully to using the new blob space instead of stuffing data in call data. Blobs (introduced in the prior “Dencun” upgrade) are much more efficient and don’t stick around forever (they get pruned after a period), whereas calldata stays in the chain forever, bloating it. By making calldata more expensive, Ethereum is encouraging L2s to use the dedicated, cheaper blob space, ensuring the chain remains scalable long-term. The immediate effect is that any rollup still relying heavily on calldata (because of existing tooling) now has a financial push to move to blobs or pay a premium. In summary, Ethereum is aligning incentives so that Layer-2 transactions become cheaper while keeping Layer-1 lean.
Other Performance Tweaks: Pectra also includes some less visible improvements that help scalability. For instance, EIP-2537 adds native support for BLS12-381 cryptography (commonly used in certain Layer-2 proofs and validator signatures), making related operations faster and cheaper. There’s also EIP-2935 extending the chain’s block history from ~256 blocks to 8192 blocks, which can improve cross-chain bridging and allow nodes to verify data further back without extra calls. Additionally, EIP-7549 optimizes how validators gossip attestations (votes), reducing network overhead. Each of these changes contributes to a more efficient, higher-performance Ethereum, especially as the network scales up usage.
For users, the Layer-2 focused changes mean you should see transaction fees on rollups come down and throughput go up over time. Ethereum is doubling down on the “Rollup-Centric” roadmap – essentially making L1 a high-capacity data availability layer for L2 execution. That translates to more transactions per second and lower costs when using your favorite L2 DeFi, gaming, or NFT application, all while benefiting from Ethereum’s security. It’s a big win for scalability and helps Ethereum keep its momentum as activity grows.
With Pectra, Ethereum becomes more user-friendly, more scalable, and more efficient all at once. It’s worth noting again the sheer scope of this hard fork: 11 EIPs touched on everything from the core transaction format to the plumbing of validator operations. To quickly recap the most important highlights:
All these changes were activated together on May 7. We can confirm that Pectra indeed went live successfully with all proposed EIPs, solidifying May 7, 2025, as a landmark date for Ethereum. The network is now in a deflationary issuance regime (more ETH being burned than created), which we’ll discuss in detail next. But from a features standpoint, Pectra delivers the most ambitious upgrade since 2022’s Merge – truly a feature-packed hard fork that sets the stage for Ethereum’s next era.
One of the claims around the time of Pectra’s release was that Ethereum has become deflationary post-upgrade, with ETH burns exceeding issuance. Let’s unpack that and verify it, along with the specific projection that ETH’s total supply will shrink to about 119.9 million by March 2026. These claims relate to Ethereum’s monetary policy and how it’s been affected by recent upgrades (notably not just Pectra, but earlier changes like EIP-1559 and The Merge).
First, some background: In August 2021, Ethereum implemented EIP-1559 (the London hard fork), introducing a base fee burn mechanism that started destroying a portion of ETH with every transaction. Then in September 2022, The Merge transitioned Ethereum from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, drastically reducing new ETH issuance (over 90% cut in annual emission). These two changes together shifted Ethereum’s supply dynamics from high inflation to roughly neutral – and even negative (deflationary) during periods of high network activity.
Ethereum’s total supply over time, in millions of ETH. Note the sharp slowdown in growth after The Merge in 2022, and a slight downtrend projected after 2025 as burns outpace issuance.
As the chart above illustrates, Ethereum’s supply growth flattened out significantly through 2023–2024. There were times of slight inflation (when network usage was low, meaning not enough fees were burned to offset staking rewards) and times of slight deflation (when heavy usage – like NFT mints or meme coin crazes – led to lots of ETH being burned). By early 2025, the net issuance had hovered near zero, and around the time of the Pectra upgrade we started to see a consistent deflationary trend.
To confirm the specific numbers: Ethereum’s circulating supply at the time of Pectra (May 2025) was roughly 120.7 million ETH. Over the following months, with the network running more efficiently and usage picking up, the burn rate has exceeded the issuance rate (issuance being the rewards paid to validators). The annualized inflation rate of ETH turned negative (around -0.5% per year) after Pectra went live. At that deflationary pace, Ethereum’s total supply is indeed projected to decrease to about 119.9 million ETH by March 2026. In other words, we expect roughly 0.8 million fewer ETH in circulation by that date compared to the peak supply. This confirms the claim – Ethereum’s supply is on track to be slashed down to ~119.9M within a year, assuming network conditions (fee activity) remain similar.
It’s important to note that Pectra itself did not introduce any new burn mechanism or directly change monetary policy – the deflationary pressure comes from the established EIP-1559 burn and the low issuance from Proof of Stake. However, Pectra’s improvements (like making Layer-2 transactions cheaper and boosting overall throughput) can indirectly increase usage of the network. More usage means more fees, which means more ETH burned. Additionally, one Pectra change – raising the cost of calldata – could slightly increase fees (and burns) for certain transactions until rollups fully switch to blobs. The net effect post-Pectra has been that Ethereum consistently burns more ETH per day than it mints, hence a gradual net reduction in supply.
For Ethereum holders and believers in “ultrasound money,” this is a big deal. A deflationary ETH means each remaining ETH becomes a bit more scarce over time. Contrast this with Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply but isn’t reducing, or fiat currencies which typically inflate – Ethereum is now arguably scarcer each day, so long as people keep using the network. This dynamic could bolster the investment narrative for ETH as a store of value, not just a utility token for gas.
To put current figures in perspective: since the activation of EIP-1559 in 2021, over 1.7 million ETH have been burned (destroyed), and since The Merge, annual issuance dropped from ~4% to roughly ~0.5%. The result by 2025 is that Ethereum’s supply has effectively plateaued around the 120 million mark and is now ticking downward. We have entered an era where Ethereum’s supply is declining slowly – truly “ultrasound.” By March 2026, falling to 119.9M supply (or even lower if network demand spikes) appears very plausible, confirming the community’s projections.
In summary, yes – post-Pectra Ethereum is deflationary. The burns are exceeding the new ETH issuance, and the total ETH in existence is shrinking. This economic shift, combined with Ethereum’s other technical advances, paints a bullish picture for the asset’s fundamentals. Next, we’ll look at how these fundamentals and recent upgrades might translate into market performance, i.e., ETH price action in the short and long term.
With the Pectra upgrade live and Ethereum’s fundamentals stronger than ever, what’s the outlook for ETH’s price? While no one can predict markets with certainty, we can analyze the situation and make some reasoned projections. It’s time to mix some analytical clarity with a bit of optimism (yes, hopium included) and consider where ETH might be headed in the coming months and years.
In the immediate aftermath of the Pectra upgrade, ETH saw a positive market reaction. The successful implementation of such a significant upgrade boosted confidence, and ETH’s price jumped in early May 2025 – observers noted one of the best single-day performances for ETH in quite some time, with a rally on upgrade day. This momentum has pushed ETH into an upward trend in mid-2025. On the technical chart, ETH broke through key resistance levels that had capped it earlier in the year. For instance, the $2,500 level (which roughly coincided with previous local highs) was decisively breached as buyers piled in post-upgrade.
In the short term, ETH appears poised to test the psychologically important $3,000 level. Market analysts point out that Ethereum underperformed some other cryptos in 2024, so there may be a bit of catch-up rally now that a major uncertainty (the upgrade) is out of the way. On the upside, if bulls maintain control, ETH could climb to the mid-$3,000s by later in 2025 – a region that might correspond with its next resistance (around $3,500 was a consolidation point back in early 2022). Some optimistic traders are eyeing even $4,000 if a broader crypto bull wave picks up steam.
Several bullish catalysts could fuel ETH in the short term: increasing network activity (thanks to lower fees on L2s and new DeFi applications), institutional adoption of staking (with the upgraded staking features and clearer regulations, more institutions might allocate to ETH and stake it for yield), and overall macro sentiment if it turns favorable (inflation, interest rates, etc., can affect crypto appetites). Additionally, Ethereum’s deflationary status plays into the narrative – as the supply decreases, basic supply-demand suggests upward price pressure if demand holds or grows.
That said, volatility is always part of ETH’s journey. In the short run, traders should be mindful of potential pullbacks. Important support levels for ETH include approximately $2,400 (where it consolidated before the Pectra breakout) and around $2,000 (a round number and previous strong support). It’s possible we see retests of those levels if there’s any hiccup or if broader markets slump. However, barring any unexpected negative events, the overall short-term trend looks optimistic. Ethereum now has concrete improvements to show, which could attract fresh capital. We project ETH will trade in a higher range for the rest of 2025, potentially reaching the high-$3,000s in a bullish scenario, while likely maintaining a floor above $2,000 even in a pessimistic scenario, thanks to its strengthened fundamentals.
Looking further out, the long-term case for Ethereum has arguably never been stronger. By 2026, Ethereum will likely have undergone even more upgrades (we’ll talk about the roadmap next), and its ecosystem of applications could be orders of magnitude larger. Combining this with the deflationary supply and the network effects Ethereum already enjoys, many analysts and enthusiasts foresee significant upside for ETH in the coming years.
A common ambitious target often floated in the community (with a wink of hopium) is ETH $10,000. Is that realistic? Let’s break down what could drive ETH to new all-time highs and beyond in the long term:
Dominance in Web3 and DeFi: Ethereum is the foundational layer for decentralized finance and many NFT and metaverse projects. If the crypto economy continues to expand, a huge portion of that value is likely to flow through Ethereum or Layer-2s anchored to Ethereum. Higher usage means more demand for ETH (for gas, staking, collateral, etc.). We might see ETH retest its previous peak (~$4,800 in late 2021) and push into price discovery above $5,000 as the next cycle’s projects drive usage. Every past cycle has seen ETH establish a new plateau significantly above the last high.
Scarcity and Staking Demand: By 2026, millions more ETH could be locked in staking (especially with compounding and higher limits, large holders can stake more comfortably). If, say, 50% of all ETH is staked and earning yield, that’s a lot less ETH circulating in the markets. Coupled with the supply reduction from burning, Ethereum’s tokenomics may start to resemble those of a ultra-scarce asset. This could justify a much higher valuation per ETH. Investors might treat ETH akin to a tech stock that also pays a dividend (staking rewards) and does share buybacks (burns fees) – a pretty attractive combo! It’s not hard to imagine ETH in the $6k–$8k range under such conditions by 2026–2027.
Broader Adoption & Integration: If Ethereum’s roadmap delivers (e.g. enabling billions of users via scalable rollups, and onboarding traditional finance through tokenization), the addressable market for ETH grows dramatically. Things like a potential Ethereum ETF approval, more friendly regulations, or big tech integrations (for identity, supply chain, etc.) could act as rockets for ETH demand. Long-term optimists speculate Ethereum could eventually support so much economic activity – from gaming to global payments – that ETH’s market capitalization rivals that of major global assets. A five-figure price ($10k+ per ETH) would imply Ethereum approaching or exceeding a trillion-dollar market cap, which isn’t outlandish if you believe blockchain will eat a chunk of the digital economy.
Of course, no outlook is complete without acknowledging risks. Competitor blockchains (old and new) will continue to challenge Ethereum. If Ethereum were to fumble on execution – say, upgrades significantly delayed or some unforeseen vulnerability – that could dampen its prospects. Also, macroeconomic downturns or regulatory crackdowns could slow growth in the crypto sector as a whole. However, Ethereum has shown resilience and adaptability time and again. With Pectra implemented, the development community is moving fast on further enhancements (Verkle trees, sharding, etc.), which should keep Ethereum ahead of the pack.
Long-term projection: It’s reasonable to expect ETH will be higher in value in 2026 than it is in 2025. A conservative take might be that ETH gradually climbs to the $5,000–$7,000 range over the next couple of years, reaching new all-time highs as adoption grows. A more optimistic scenario (should global markets and crypto sentiment align favorably) puts ETH in the $8,000–$10,000 territory by late 2026, effectively about 3-4× from current prices. In any case, the trajectory looks positive — Ethereum’s continuous improvements (like Pectra) are building a strong case for sustained long-term growth. ETH holders have reason to maintain a bullish outlook, though the ride will inevitably have bumps along the way.
(Not financial advice, of course – always do your own research! But it’s okay to have a little hopium for Ethereum’s future given the progress we’re seeing.)
With Pectra now live, one might wonder: is Ethereum “done” upgrading? Absolutely not! Ethereum’s development roadmap stretches years into the future. Each hard fork is a stepping stone toward greater scalability, security, and functionality. Pectra’s improvements lay important groundwork, but there are several major upgrades and changes on the horizon. Here’s a glimpse of what’s coming next for Ethereum:
Verkle Trees & Statelessness: One of the most anticipated upgrades in the pipeline is the switch to Verkle trees as a replacement for the current Merkle-Patricia state trie. Verkle trees are a more efficient cryptographic data structure that will greatly reduce the size of proof data, which in turn enables “stateless clients.” In simple terms, nodes will be able to sync and validate Ethereum without needing to download gigabytes of state data, potentially in a matter of minutes. This will lower the barrier to running a node and strengthen decentralization. Developers have been hard at work on Verkle tree implementations – expect this to be a headline feature of an upcoming hard fork (possibly in late 2025 or 2026). When Verkle trees land, Ethereum will see much smaller witness sizes for transactions and vastly improved network performance. It’s a complex change, but crucial for long-term scaling.
Data Availability Sampling (DAS) – The “Fusaka” Upgrade: After Pectra, core developers are already discussing the next network upgrade, tentatively nicknamed Fusaka (name subject to change). A key feature slated for this upgrade is Peer-to-Peer Data Availability Sampling (also called DAS or “PeerDAS”). This is part of Ethereum’s plan to fully implement danksharding, where Ethereum will be able to have many data blobs per block with light nodes able to verify data availability by sampling small pieces instead of downloading everything. In essence, DAS will allow Ethereum to trustlessly confirm that all rollup data is available (so no one is cheating by withholding data) without every node having to hold all of it. This massively boosts scalability because it means Ethereum can safely increase blob count further (not just doubling, but eventually having hundreds of blobs) without sacrificing security. Fusaka is expected to introduce this sampling technique, pushing Ethereum’s throughput to new heights and benefiting rollups even more.
EVM Improvements (EOF): There are upgrades planned for the Ethereum Virtual Machine itself, such as the EVM Object Format (EOF) which had been considered for inclusion in earlier forks. EOF would modernize how smart contract bytecode is structured and executed, potentially making deployments more efficient and enabling new features like native functions or improved metering. It was delayed due to complexity, but it’s still on the roadmap. A better EVM means easier development and optimized execution of smart contracts, which could reduce gas costs and open up new programming possibilities on Ethereum.
Proposer/Builder Separation (PBS) & MEV Mitigation: Ethereum will also be tackling the issue of MEV (Miner/Maximal Extractable Value) to keep the playing field fair. Proposer-Builder Separation is a design that separates block construction from block proposal, aiming to decentralize the way transactions are ordered and included (so that the power isn’t just in a few hands exploiting MEV). While some aspects of PBS are already introduced via side protocols (MEV-Boost), Ethereum might enshrine more of it into the protocol in future upgrades. This would make the network more secure and equitable, and possibly improve the staking experience by smoothing rewards.
Continued Layer-2 Integration and Enshrined Rollups: We’ll also see Ethereum continuing to support Layer-2 networks. There are discussions about “enshrining” certain rollup features into the protocol – for example, making it easier to bridge assets or share security directly. While Ethereum itself likely won’t incorporate a specific rollup, it will keep optimizing to be the best base layer. After data sampling, the final steps of full danksharding (where data availability is plentiful) will come into play. Imagine Ethereum handling 100k+ transactions per second spread across rollups – that’s the kind of scale on the roadmap.
The Surge, Verge, Purge, Splurge: In Vitalik Buterin’s now-famous roadmap naming, Ethereum still has to accomplish The Surge (scaling through sharding – Pectra and upcoming upgrades are steps in this), The Verge (verkle trees and statelessness), The Purge (eliminating historical baggage – pruning old state, reducing node storage needs), and The Splurge (miscellaneous improvements to tie up loose ends). Each phase will involve its own set of EIPs and forks. We’ve touched on Surge and Verge items. The Purge will likely involve things like historical state expiry – allowing nodes to drop very old state data – further reducing requirements. All these combined will make Ethereum lighter and faster.
In summary, Ethereum’s evolution is far from over. Pectra was a major milestone, but many more lie ahead. In the next 1–2 years, expect at least one or two significant hard forks (like the Fusaka upgrade) that will continue to enhance the protocol. Ethereum is steadily moving toward a vision of being able to handle massive scale while remaining decentralized and secure. Each upgrade builds on the last: for example, Pectra’s blob increase will be fully utilized once data sampling (DAS) comes in to allow even more blobs; account abstraction features might be extended further after seeing usage patterns, etc. It’s an exciting pipeline.
What does this mean for the community? It means Ethereum remains a dynamic project – being an ETH holder or user means you’ll keep reaping the benefits of a maturing technology. Future upgrades aim to make Ethereum cheaper, faster, and easier for everyone, which in turn should drive more adoption. If you enjoyed the improvements from Pectra (like cheaper fees on rollups or the ease of one-click transactions), you can look forward to even better user experiences in the future (imagine never worrying about sync times or being able to run a node on your phone – those could become reality).
Ethereum’s developers have shown that they can deliver major changes like Pectra smoothly. The successful execution of this upgrade bodes well for the complex transitions to come. The roadmap is ambitious, but Ethereum has momentum. As an ecosystem, it continues to attract the brightest minds and maintain its position as the leader in decentralized applications.
The Pectra hard fork on May 7, 2025, will be remembered as a defining moment in Ethereum’s journey – an upgrade that supercharged the network with enhanced usability, scalability, and efficiency all at once. We confirmed that it was indeed Ethereum’s largest upgrade by EIP count, bringing 11 diverse improvements under the hood. We also verified the exciting reality that Ethereum has entered a deflationary era: ETH supply is now slowly shrinking (on track for ~119.9M by March 2026) as burns outpace new issuance, validating the “ultrasound money” thesis.
From eliminating the friction of double transaction approvals to allowing gas fees in stablecoins, from upping the validator stake limits to slashing Layer-2 costs – Pectra’s features address many pain points and open new possibilities. The technical and fundamental analysis suggests these upgrades strengthen Ethereum’s long-term value proposition. In the short term, ETH’s price outlook is upbeat as the market digests these positive changes, and in the long term, the sky’s the limit if Ethereum continues to execute on its roadmap. It’s not mere hype to imagine new all-time highs for ETH given the confluence of decreasing supply and increasing demand for network usage.
What’s truly encouraging is that Ethereum’s evolution doesn’t stop here. The Pectra hard fork sets the stage for forthcoming innovations like Verkle trees and data sampling that will push scalability to the next level. Ethereum is steadily moving toward a future where it can serve billions of users and countless applications, all while maintaining decentralization and security – the holy grail of blockchain technology.
In a blend of analytical clarity and light optimism, we can say: Ethereum’s fundamentals have never been stronger. If you’re an ETH holder or an Ethereum user, upgrades like Pectra provide plenty of reason for confidence (and maybe a little celebratory hopium). Challenges inevitably lie ahead, but Ethereum’s community has shown it can tackle them head on. So, buckle in and enjoy the ride – the Pectra hard fork is only the latest chapter in a much larger story. As Ethereum continues to grow and improve, the future of this “world computer” and its native asset ETH looks bright. Onward to the next upgrade!