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In the world of digital assets, owning a whole Bitcoin has become a dream for many. This virtual money is not only seen as a digital asset but is also regarded by some as a tool to hedge against inflation, and even as a future family heirloom.
A few years ago, when the price of Bitcoin was relatively low, it was not difficult to own multiple Bitcoins. However, the situation today is very different. Approximately 3.42 million Bitcoins are held long-term by institutions, companies, and governments, along with 1.1 million in Satoshi's account, and about 4.2 million coins that cannot be recovered due to lost private keys. The actual number of Bitcoins circulating in the market may only be around 12 million.
Assuming that in the future, half of the Bitcoins are controlled by institutions and large holders, approximately 6 million coins will be left for retail investors. This means that globally, there may only be 600,000 to 1.2 million retail investors who can own at least 1 Bitcoin. On-chain data shows that there are currently about 830,000 wallet addresses holding 1 to 10 Bitcoins, which aligns with this speculation.
As the price of Bitcoin continues to rise, fully owning 1 Bitcoin is becoming a 'privilege' for a select few. For most people, the future may require adjusting their goals to 0.5, 0.3, or even 0.1 Bitcoin. However, even 0.1 Bitcoin may be enough to support a comfortable retirement in a third-tier city in the future where Bitcoin is widely used.
Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative tool, but has evolved into a game of scarcity and time. Whether one can own 'a complete coin' may be the most challenging and attractive threshold in this wealth game. In this era of digital assets, everyone is looking for their own place, whether it is a whole coin or a fraction of a Bitcoin, both represent expectations and investments in the future.
As the scarcity of Bitcoin becomes increasingly prominent, its value may continue to rise. However, investors should act with caution and fully recognize the high risk of the digital currency market. Whether or not one can own a complete Bitcoin, it is important to make informed investment decisions based on one's financial situation and risk tolerance.