According to cryptocurrency analyst VisionPulsed, Dogecoin could witness its first significant bullish movement around September 13. He argues that the current bearish trend aligns with the post-halving pattern, where the market remains weak for about 510–511 days after the Bitcoin supply is cut down before entering the final bullish phase.
In a video released on September 1, he told viewers: "I believe that starting around September 13, the selling pressure may ease... 511 days after the previous halving, we started to rise again. 511 days after the previous halving, we started to rise again."
The Dogecoin pain may end on September 13.
This analyst views the current weakness as part of a longer, slower cycle characterized by broader fluctuations rather than deeper collapses. "Unfortunately, we are still going down," he said, adding that in this cycle, "the corrections have lasted longer... every time we go sideways, it lasts forever."
He pointed out the periods of weakness in history in September - citing the period from September 2 to September 26, 2021, and a shorter decline in November 2017 - as signs coinciding, either by chance or causation, with the pace after the halving that he monitors.
The timing prediction of VisionPulsed is supported by the M2 liquidity measure, which he believes continues to correlate with the leading position of cryptocurrency even as that leading position shifts among assets. "Some people say that M2 is no longer effective. I disagree," he said.
In his view, this indicator "has essentially tracked Solana" in 2023, then followed Bitcoin, and more recently has matched the flow into Ethereum and BNB as Bitcoin's dominance weakened. "Don't pretend that BNB hasn't been bullish with liquidity," he said, while acknowledging, "I won't sit here and tell you that I know exactly where liquidity is going next... I don't know."
He argued that this leadership turnover helps explain why some large-cap tokens are lagging behind. "Perhaps our coin is not affected by liquidity because our coin is trash," he said. He suggested that assets that have reached the peak of the cycle may have little bullish momentum left, extending similar logic to Bitcoin by arguing that its ultimate peak may be much closer than many people predict: "It could be $140,000. It could be $130,000. It will not reach $200,000." He also stated that the structure of XRP shows previous all-time highs on his chart, while adding that it has not participated in the latest liquidity momentum.
As for Dogecoin, the analyst's base scenario is that this coin still remains under the market capitalization rankings and has yet to benefit from the liquidity rotation prioritizing Bitcoin first, followed by Ethereum and BNB, with a "slight" spillover to Solana. He warns that a broader "altcoin season" still depends on traditional risk appetite, pointing out that the Russell 2000 has failed to break new highs.
"Until we get that, I really won’t be looking forward to an altcoin season," he said, estimating the delay between previous halvings and the confirmed breakout of small-cap stocks to be about 18 days, then 123 days, then 190 days—compared to over 480 days without such a breakout in the current cycle. "Yes, this is the worst market cycle ever," he said. "There’s no doubt about it. But that doesn’t mean it can’t happen. It just might take longer than we want."
Although he believes that September 13 is the earliest time to relieve the sentiment, VisionPulsed warns that the liquidity situation afterwards will be even more volatile. He emphasizes a period from around September 14 to October 24 during which his M2 index tends to "dephase", noting that previous cases still allowed reaching a record high even when the underlying index fluctuated.
"Will we reach a peak or will we remain forever pessimistic? We will explore this together," he said. He concluded, "currently we are still pessimistic," emphasizing that this point is probabilistic and depends more on time than on a guarantee.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Analysts Predict the Rise of Dogecoin Could Start on September 13
According to cryptocurrency analyst VisionPulsed, Dogecoin could witness its first significant bullish movement around September 13. He argues that the current bearish trend aligns with the post-halving pattern, where the market remains weak for about 510–511 days after the Bitcoin supply is cut down before entering the final bullish phase. In a video released on September 1, he told viewers: "I believe that starting around September 13, the selling pressure may ease... 511 days after the previous halving, we started to rise again. 511 days after the previous halving, we started to rise again." The Dogecoin pain may end on September 13. This analyst views the current weakness as part of a longer, slower cycle characterized by broader fluctuations rather than deeper collapses. "Unfortunately, we are still going down," he said, adding that in this cycle, "the corrections have lasted longer... every time we go sideways, it lasts forever." He pointed out the periods of weakness in history in September - citing the period from September 2 to September 26, 2021, and a shorter decline in November 2017 - as signs coinciding, either by chance or causation, with the pace after the halving that he monitors. The timing prediction of VisionPulsed is supported by the M2 liquidity measure, which he believes continues to correlate with the leading position of cryptocurrency even as that leading position shifts among assets. "Some people say that M2 is no longer effective. I disagree," he said. In his view, this indicator "has essentially tracked Solana" in 2023, then followed Bitcoin, and more recently has matched the flow into Ethereum and BNB as Bitcoin's dominance weakened. "Don't pretend that BNB hasn't been bullish with liquidity," he said, while acknowledging, "I won't sit here and tell you that I know exactly where liquidity is going next... I don't know." He argued that this leadership turnover helps explain why some large-cap tokens are lagging behind. "Perhaps our coin is not affected by liquidity because our coin is trash," he said. He suggested that assets that have reached the peak of the cycle may have little bullish momentum left, extending similar logic to Bitcoin by arguing that its ultimate peak may be much closer than many people predict: "It could be $140,000. It could be $130,000. It will not reach $200,000." He also stated that the structure of XRP shows previous all-time highs on his chart, while adding that it has not participated in the latest liquidity momentum. As for Dogecoin, the analyst's base scenario is that this coin still remains under the market capitalization rankings and has yet to benefit from the liquidity rotation prioritizing Bitcoin first, followed by Ethereum and BNB, with a "slight" spillover to Solana. He warns that a broader "altcoin season" still depends on traditional risk appetite, pointing out that the Russell 2000 has failed to break new highs. "Until we get that, I really won’t be looking forward to an altcoin season," he said, estimating the delay between previous halvings and the confirmed breakout of small-cap stocks to be about 18 days, then 123 days, then 190 days—compared to over 480 days without such a breakout in the current cycle. "Yes, this is the worst market cycle ever," he said. "There’s no doubt about it. But that doesn’t mean it can’t happen. It just might take longer than we want." Although he believes that September 13 is the earliest time to relieve the sentiment, VisionPulsed warns that the liquidity situation afterwards will be even more volatile. He emphasizes a period from around September 14 to October 24 during which his M2 index tends to "dephase", noting that previous cases still allowed reaching a record high even when the underlying index fluctuated. "Will we reach a peak or will we remain forever pessimistic? We will explore this together," he said. He concluded, "currently we are still pessimistic," emphasizing that this point is probabilistic and depends more on time than on a guarantee.